You can download our resources from here:
Webinars and slidecasts are in mp4 format. Please click on the icon to get the mp4 (if you cannot play it, please download the MP4 file by right clicking and choosing 'Save link as' . Play it locally with Windows media player, or quicktime or VLC (free software))
Lecture notes are in PDF format
Our Webinars (recordings)
Sources of Uncertainties
The aim of this webinar is to introduce the main sources of uncertainty that lead to forecast errors. The weather prediction problem will be discussed, and stated it in terms of an appropriate probability density function (PDF). The concept of ensemble prediction based on a finite number of integration will be introduced, and the reason why it is to be the only feasible method to predict the PDF beyond the range of linear growth will be illustrated.This Webinar was delivered by Dr. Roberto Buizza and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording.
Ensemble Data Assimilation
The aim of this webinar is to introduce the ECMWF ensemble of data assimilation (EDA). The rationale and methodology of the EDA will be illustrated, and its use in to simulate initial uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system (ENS) will be presented.This webinar was delivered by Dr. Roberto Buizza and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording.
Multi-model ensemble predictions on seasonal timescale
This lecture looks at calibration and multi-model ensembles from a seasonal forecasting perspective. The theoretical basis is given, followed by research results that strongly motivated a multi-model approach for these timescales. The operational EUROSIP multi-model system is described. This Webinar was delivered by Dr. Tim Stockdale and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording.
Our Slidecasts (slides and audio recordings)
Sources of predictability beyond the deterministic limit
This lecture was delivered by Mr. Franco Molteni and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording
Teleconnections and interannual variability of the atmosphere
This lecture was delivered by Mr. Franco Molteni and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording
Weather Regimes
This lecture was delivered by Mr. Franco Molteni and recorded in May 2014. Click here to download the recording
Our Lecture Notes (PDF) – AVAILABLE SOON!