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The aim of this  case study is to forecast Autumn stormy weather in the Adriatic Sea in late October 2018 with focus on the area of Venice. The purpose of this interactive exercise is to use and discuss a wide range of ECMWF products. These includes:

Model climatology (proxy of the real climate)

Seasonal forecasts (anomalies, verification)

Extended forecasts (anomalies, verification)

Medium-range forecasts (Ensemble mean and spread, cyclonic features, clusters, EFI and SOT)

Weather parameters (precipitation type, point rainfall, wind gusts and waves)

Sections:

Introduction

Model climate

Extended range for

Early medium range

Medium range

Short range

Outcome and discussion

Useful links:

ECMWF Forecasts

ecCharts

IFS known issues

Severe event catalogue

Forecast User Guide

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