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Comment: Confirmed.

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  • Mark the areas of any lightning activity (in yellow) you expect.
  • Mark the areas of severe (amber), significantly severe (red) and extremely severe (magenta) convection.

Useful links:

ECMWF Forecasts

IFS known issues

Severe event catalogue

Monthly (extended-range) Forecast

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title20150630

Gallery
includeENS_spread_Z500_20150630_00.png,efi_10fg_20150705_05.png,efi_2t_20150705_05.png,efi_cape_20150705_05.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_05.png,efi_tp_20150705_05.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_05.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_05.png,prob_precip_1_20150705_05.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_05.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_05.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includecl500_20150630_00.png,cl500_20150630_01.png,cl500_20150630_02.png,cl500_20150630_03.png
sortname
titleClusters

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_05.png,mslp_tp_20150705_05.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
includecape_20150630_00.png,cape_20150630_01.png,cape_20150630_02.png,cape_20150630_03.png,cape_20150630_04.png,cape_20150630_05.png,cape_20150630_06.png,cape_20150630_07.png,cape_20150630_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150630_08.png,capeshear_20150630_00.png,capeshear_20150630_00.png,capeshear_20150630_01.png,capeshear_20150630_01.png,capeshear_20150630_02.png,capeshear_20150630_02.png,capeshear_20150630_03.png,capeshear_20150630_03.png,capeshear_20150630_04.png,capeshear_20150630_04.png,capeshear_20150630_05.png,capeshear_20150630_05.png,capeshear_20150630_06.png,capeshear_20150630_06.png,capeshear_20150630_07.png,capeshear_20150630_07.png,capeshear_20150630_08.png,capeshear_20150630_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

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Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015063000.pdf


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title20150701

Gallery
includeENS_spread_Z500_20150701_00.png,efi_10fg_20150705_04.png,efi_2t_20150705_04.png,efi_cape_20150705_04.png,

title20150701

Gallery
includeENS_spread_Z500_20150701_00.png,efi_10fg_20150705_04.png,efi_2t_20150705_04.png,efi_cape_20150705_04.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_04.png,efi_tp_20150705_04.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_04.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_04.png,prob_precip_1_20150705_04.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_04.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_04.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includecl500_20150701_00.png,cl500_20150701_01.png,cl500_20150701_02.png,cl500_20150701_03.png
sortname
titleClusters

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_04.png,mslp_tp_20150705_04.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
HRES convective
includecape_20150701_00.png,cape_20150701_01.png,cape_20150701_02.png,cape_20150701_03.png,cape_20150701_04.png,cape_20150701_05.png,cape_20150701_06.png,cape_20150701_07.png,cape_20150701_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150701_08.png,capeshear_20150701_00.png,capeshear_20150701_00.png,capeshear_20150701_01.png,capeshear_20150701_01.png,capeshear_20150701_02.png,capeshear_20150701_02.png,capeshear_20150701_03.png,capeshear_20150701_03.png,capeshear_20150701_04.png,capeshear_20150701_04.png,capeshear_20150701_05.png,capeshear_20150701_05.png,capeshear_20150701_06.png,capeshear_20150701_06.png,capeshear_20150701_07.png,capeshear_20150701_07.png,capeshear_20150701_08.png,capeshear_20150701_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015070100.pdf


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title20150702

Gallery
includeefi_10fg_20150705_03.png,efi_2t_20150705_03.png,efi_cape_20150705_03.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_03.png,efi_tp_20150705_03.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_03.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_03.png,prob_precip_1_20150705_03.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_03.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_03.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includecl500_20150702_00.png,cl500_20150702_01.png,cl500_20150702_02.png,cl500_20150702_03.png
sortname
titleClusters

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_03.png,mslp_tp_20150705_03.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
HRES convective
includecape_20150702_00.png,cape_20150702_01.png,cape_20150702_02.png,cape_20150702_03.png,cape_20150702_04.png,cape_20150702_05.png,cape_20150702_06.png,cape_20150702_07.png,cape_20150702_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150702_08.png,capeshear_20150702_00.png,capeshear_20150702_00.png,capeshear_20150702_01.png,capeshear_20150702_01.png,capeshear_20150702_02.png,capeshear_20150702_02.png,capeshear_20150702_03.png,capeshear_20150702_03.png,capeshear_20150702_04.png,capeshear_20150702_04.png,capeshear_20150702_05.png,capeshear_20150702_05.png,capeshear_20150702_06.png,capeshear_20150702_06.png,capeshear_20150702_07.png,capeshear_20150702_07.png,capeshear_20150702_08.png,capeshear_20150702_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015070200.pdf


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title20150703

Gallery
includeefi_10fg_20150705_02.png,efi_2t_20150705_02.png,efi_cape_20150705_02.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_02.png,efi_tp_20150705_02.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_02.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_02.png,prob_precip_1_20150705_02.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_02.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_02.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_02.png,mslp_tp_20150705_02.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
HRES convective
includecape_20150703_00.png,cape_20150703_01.png,cape_20150703_02.png,cape_20150703_03.png,cape_20150703_04.png,cape_20150703_05.png,cape_20150703_06.png,cape_20150703_07.png,cape_20150703_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150703_08.png,capeshear_20150703_00.png,capeshear_20150703_00.png,capeshear_20150703_01.png,capeshear_20150703_01.png,capeshear_20150703_02.png,capeshear_20150703_02.png,capeshear_20150703_03.png,capeshear_20150703_03.png,capeshear_20150703_04.png,capeshear_20150703_04.png,capeshear_20150703_05.png,capeshear_20150703_05.png,capeshear_20150703_06.png,capeshear_20150703_06.png,capeshear_20150703_07.png,capeshear_20150703_07.png,capeshear_20150703_08.png,capeshear_20150703_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015070300.pdf


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title20150704

Gallery
includeefi_10fg_20150705_01.png,efi_2t_20150705_01.png,efi_cape_20150705_01.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_01.png,efi_tp_20150705_01.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_01.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_01.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_01.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_01.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_01.png,mslp_tp_20150705_01.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
HRES convective
includecape_20150704_00.png,cape_20150704_01.png,cape_20150704_02.png,cape_20150704_03.png,cape_20150704_04.png,cape_20150704_05.png,cape_20150704_06.png,cape_20150704_07.png,cape_20150704_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150704_08.png,capeshear_20150704_00.png,capeshear_20150704_00.png,capeshear_20150704_01.png,capeshear_20150704_01.png,capeshear_20150704_02.png,capeshear_20150704_02.png,capeshear_20150704_03.png,capeshear_20150704_03.png,capeshear_20150704_04.png,capeshear_20150704_04.png,capeshear_20150704_05.png,capeshear_20150704_05.png,capeshear_20150704_06.png,capeshear_20150704_06.png,capeshear_20150704_07.png,capeshear_20150704_07.png,capeshear_20150704_08.png,capeshear_20150704_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015070400.pdf


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title20150705

Gallery
includeefi_10fg_20150705_00.png,efi_2t_20150705_00.png,efi_cape_20150705_00.png,efi_capeshear_20150705_00.png,efi_tp_20150705_00.png,mean_spread_z500_20150705_00.png,prob_precip_10_20150705_00.png,prob_precip_20_20150705_00.png,prob_cape_1_20150705_00.png
sortname
titleENS

Gallery
includeZ500T850_20150705_00.png,mslp_tp_20150705_00.png
sortname
titleHRES

Gallery
includecape_20150705_00.png,cape_20150705_01.png,cape_20150705_02.png,cape_20150705_03.png,cape_20150705_04.png,cape_20150705_05.png,cape_20150705_06.png,cape_20150705_07.png,cape_20150705_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_00.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_01.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_02.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_03.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_04.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_05.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_06.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_07.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_08.png,cape_wind_shear_20150705_08.png,capeshear_20150705_00.png,capeshear_20150705_00.png,capeshear_20150705_01.png,capeshear_20150705_01.png,capeshear_20150705_02.png,capeshear_20150705_02.png,capeshear_20150705_03.png,capeshear_20150705_03.png,capeshear_20150705_04.png,capeshear_20150705_04.png,capeshear_20150705_05.png,capeshear_20150705_05.png,capeshear_20150705_06.png,capeshear_20150705_06.png,capeshear_20150705_07.png,capeshear_20150705_07.png,capeshear_20150705_08.png,capeshear_20150705_08.png
sortname
titleHRES convective

Ensemble meteograms for: Belgrade(Serbia), Berlin(Germany), Brussels(Belgium), Bucharest(Romania), De Bilt(the Netherlands),

Helsinki(Finland), Luxembourg(Luxembourg), Offenbach(Germany), Paris(France), Prague(Czech Rep.), Reading(UK), Roma(Italy), Vienna(Austria)

ENSgrams_2015070500.pdf


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titleAnalysis

Gallery
includeESTOFEX_20150705.png,Ligtning_20150705.png,Rainfall_20150705.png,Sat_20150705_anim.gif
sortname

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