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On 15 March the tropical cyclone Idai made landfall in Mozambique causing many fatalities. The cyclone formed from a tropical depression that already had brought flooding fatal floodings to Mozambique and Malawi the week before.  During the second landfall a storm surge hit the area of Beira together with extreme wind and extensive rainfall leading to further flooding inland.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Idai

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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

  • Complex case with two landfalls
  • The injuries are a combination from the flooding of the first landfall, surge and wind during the second landfall and flooding later
  • Regarding 2nd landfall, good prediction 5 days a head (with uncertainties), and indication at least a week ahead

6. Additional material