Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Fernando, Ervin
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/01/26/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/01/22/sc/
Picture
1. Impact
http://www.thestandard.com.hk/section-news.php?id=165599
2. Description of the event
The plots below show the EFI for 2-metre temperature for the first forecast day as a proxy of the analysis for 20 to 26 January. The anomalous cold weather started in southern Russia around 21 January and propagated southward ans was most intense 23-24 January in China.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases