Venue :  L'Ecole Nationale de la Météorologie

7-9th June 2016.

Overview

This workshop will introduce participants to the ECMWF OpenIFS forecast model, with presentations and exercises based on a case study of Hurricane Nadine during the HYMEX campaign.

Outline programme

Start (each day) :  9.15am coffee, 9.30 start
Lunch                 : 12.30 - 2pm
Finish (7/8th)     :   5pm (latest)
           (9th)       :    4pm (latest)

Presentations : 30mins duration

Prerequisite

Please read the paper: Pantillon, F., Chaboureau, J.-P. and Richard, E. (2015), 'Vortex-vortex interaction between Hurrican Nadine and an Atlantic cutoff dropping the predictability over the Mediterranean,    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2635/abstract

Detailed programme

Tues 7^th June: Context and case study

9.15             Coffee

9.30      Introductions and workshop overview   - Frédéric Ferry (ENM) / Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

9.40      Presentation of the HyMeX field campaign   -  Véronique Ducrocq (CNRM/GMME/D)

10.10     Presentation on Hurricane Nadine    -   Jean-Pierre Chaboureau
 

10.40            Break

11.15    Introduction to OpenIFS and the exercises    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

11.45    Introduction to Metview     - Sandor Kertesz (ECMWF)

12.00   Virtual machine setup and Metview practice (classroom)

12.30            Lunch

14.00     Practical session: Explore ECMWF analysis & deterministic forecast of Nadine & cut-off low

16.30     Finish

Weds 8^th June: Ensemble prediction and forecast sensitivity

9.15          Coffee

9.30   Ensemble prediction at ECMWF    - Glenn Carver (ECMWF)

10.00  Ensemble prediction at convective scale with AROME - François Bouttier (CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

10.30       Break

11.00 - 16.30 (lunch 12.30-14.00)   Practical session

1. • ECMWF ensemble forecasts

   • Analysis of the forecast error (RMSE)

   • Visualization of ensemble forecasts (plumes, ensemble spread, spaghettis, ...)

   • PCA and clustering

   • Forecast sensitivity

16.30   Finish

Thurs 9^th June: Case study (contd). OpenIFS single column model (SCM) exercise and group presentations

9.15        Coffee

9.30   Hymex IOP6 and Nadine, a forecaster’s experience – Etienne Chabot (ENM/DER/PAM and CNRM/GMME/MICADO)

10.00  Practical session (contd), including:

• • Preparation of presentations

10.30       Break

10.45   Presentation of the OpenIFS Single Column Model - Filip Vana (ECMWF)

• Practical session with the SCM model: sensitivity experiments to convective parameterization, …

12.30        Lunch

14.00    Group presentations, Discussions and debrief

16.00   Finish