Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
Picture
1. Impact
On Saturday 12 September southern France was hit but flash floods and the day after Genoa in north-western Italy was hit. 2 people were killed in the Emilia Romagna region. On 14 September a strong convective cell affected Veneto (NE Italy) and created hailstones in size of tennis balls.
2. Description of the event
The plots below shows MSLP and 12-hour precipitation from short forecasts.
MSLP and 12-hour precipitation (short forecast)
There are no images attached to this page.
Saturday (12 Sept 06- 13 Sept 06z)
Sunday (13 Sept 06z - 14 Sept 06z)
Monday (14 Sept 06z - 15 Sept 06z)
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
Saturday (12 Sept 06- 13 Sept 06z)
The plots below show forecasts from 12 Sept 00z, 11 Sept 12z ans 11 Sept 00z.
Sunday (13 Sept 06z - 14 Sept 06z)
The plots below show forecasts from 13 Sept 00z, 12 Sept 12z ans 12 Sept 00z.
3.3 ENS
Saturday 12 Sept
EFI and SOT for precipitation (from 12 Sept 00z and 11 Sept 00z)
Sunday 13 Sept
EFI and SOT for precipitation (from 13 Sept 00z, 12 Sept 00z and 11 Sept 00z)
Monday 14 Sept
EFI and SOT for precipitation (from 14 Sept 00z, 13 Sept 00z and 12 Sept 00z)
EFI and SOT for CAPE+SHEAR (from 14 Sept 00z, 13 Sept 00z and 12 Sept 00z)
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 EFAS
EPIC
ERIC
4. Experience from general performance/other cases