Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2013/11/05/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2013/11/06/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2013/11/07/sc/
1. Impact
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 HRES
For high-resolution ps-file, click here.
3.2 ENS
3.3 Monthly forecasts
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
- Megi, Bopha: super-typhoons with far too high minimum pressure
- Francesco: Why did the model produce such a low pressure for Francesco and not for Haiyan?
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Good and consistent forecasts of the track
- Far to high minimum pressure