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Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

Picture

1. Impact

On 24 August tropical cyclone Hato made landfall in China. The landfall was a direct hit on Macao and also affected Hong Kong. 12 people is said to have been killed.

2. Description of the event

The plot below shows the MSLP observation at Macao airport (from http://weather.gladstonefamily.net/site/VMMC?lang=es) :

Forecast User > 201708 - Tropical cyclone - Hato > VMMC.gif

The plot below shows the storm surge at Quarry Bay in Hong Kong (from http://www.hko.gov.hk/tide/marine/realtide.htm via TC mailing list):

Forecast User > 201708 - Tropical cyclone - Hato > tide_quarry_bay.png

The table below shows observations from Macao, with wind gusts reaching 217 km/h (also from TC mailing list).

Forecast User > 201708 - Tropical cyclone - Hato > macao_20170823.png

1. Impact

2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material