Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ivan, Linus

Picture

1. Impact

During the first week of January the north-eastern central and south-eastern part of Europe was hit by a cold spell resulting in temperatures below 40C in Sweden and Finland and temperatures below 30C far down on the continent. In connection, many countries in southern and south-eastern Europe (e.g Italy, Greece and Turkey) were hit by severe snowfall.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38546998

2. Description of the event

The plots below shows analyses of z500 and t850 for the period 2-9 January.

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material