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Thursday 12 February 2015 (in the Large Committee Room)

Aim of the meeting:

Meeting arranged in association with visit of ECMWF Fellow, Professor Tilmann Gneiting, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies

Aim of the meeting:

Review results of preliminary study of calibration of ECMWF medium-range forecasts (ECMWF and HITS)
Overview of current work on calibration by participants from Member and Co-operating States
Discussion of areas for future research
Consideration of opportunities for collaborations on future work

Alexander Kann, Benedikt Bica (ZAMG)
Michaël Zamo (Meteo-France)
Istvan Ihasz (OMSZ)
Reinhold Hess (DWD)
Piers Buchanan, Nina Schuhen (Met Office)
Tilmann Gneiting, Stephan Hemri, Kira Feldmann (HITS)
David Richardson, Thomas Haiden, Florian Pappenberger, Paul Smith, Florence Rabier, Martin Leutbecher (ECMWF)


09:15	Intro, background (David)
09:30	Overview of ECMWF work so far (Stephan Hemri)
10:00 - 13:00	presentations from MS (5 x 30 mins including discussions), plus time for coffee
13:00	lunch
14:00	Discussion from morning
15:00	summary and plans for further collaboration
15:30	finish

Calibration project at ECMWF	Stephan Hemri
Calibration at ZAMG	Alexander Kann
Met Office gridded calibration	Piers Buchanan
Site-specific post-processing at the Met Office	Nina Schuhen
Calibration with MOS at DWD	Reinhold Hess
Developments on ensemble calibration at the Hungarian Meteorological Service	István Ihász
Gridded MOS and ensemble calibration at Meteo-France	Michael Zamo

Seminar (given at ECMWF, 11 February 2015): Statistical Post-Processing of Ensemble Forecasts: Current Developments and Future Directions	Tilmann Gneiting