Status:Ongoing analysis Material from:

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

Picture

1. Impact

During the second half of December Malaysia and Thailand were hit by heavy rainfall. The following flooding is said to be the worst for decades.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-30609549

2. Description of the event

The plot below shows the accumulated precipitation at Kuantan Airport during December. The mean precipitation for the month is around 600 mm. For 16 to 26 December the station got 1400 mm.

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material