Status:Ongoing analysis Material from:

1. Impact

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 12 May 12UTC to 17 May 00UTC, every 12th hour.

The plots below show analyses of z500 and T850 from 12 May to 17 May 00UTC, every 24 hour.

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

The plots below show 48-hour precipitation (15 May 00UTC - 17 May 00UTC) in observaions (first plot, more obs to be added later) concatenated short forecasts (second plot) and o-suite HRES forecasts with different lead times.

3.3 ENS

The plots below shows EFI and SOT for 3-day  precipitation on 15-17 May, from different initial dates.

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material