Discussed in the following Daily reports:
Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
On 17 February the windstorm Otto hit Scotland and southern Scandinavia with travel disruptions in e.g Copenhagen.
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 17 February 00UTC to 18 February 12UTC, every 12th hour.
The plots below show observations from SYNOP (first plot), concatenated 6-hour forecasts (2nd plot) and o-suite HRES forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts from 17 February 12UTC - 18 February 12UTC, from different initial dates.
The plots below show observations from SYNOP (first plot), concatenated 6-hour forecasts (2nd plot) and e-suite HRES forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts from 17February 12UTC - 18 February 12UTC, from different initial dates.
The plots below show EFI for 1-day maximum wind gusts on 17 February (note the 12 hour shift from the other plots), from different initial times.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour maximum valid 17 February 12UTC - 18 February 12UTC for 0.5 degree box around Copenhagen. Mean of observations - green hourglass, concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, HRES –red, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Ensemble median as black box and ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts. 48r1 e-suite is included in orange dot (HRES/ENS control) and cyan (ENS distribution).
