1. Ensemble version | |
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Ensemble identifier code | RUMS |
Short Description | Global ensemble system that simulates initial uncertainties using breeding method. It is based on 20 members, run weekly (Wednesday at 00Z) up to day 61. |
Research or operational | Operational |
Data time of first forecast run | 07/01/2015 |
2. Configuration of the EPS | |
Is the model coupled to an ocean model ? | No |
If yes, please describe ocean model briefly including frequency of coupling and any ensemble perturbation applied | |
Is the model coupled to a sea Ice model? | No - Sea ice initial conditions are persisted up to day 15 and then relaxed to climatology up to day 45. |
If yes, please describe sea-ice model briefly including any ensemble perturbation applied | |
Is the model coupled to a wave model? | No |
If yes, please describe wave model briefly including any ensemble perturbation applied | |
Ocean model | |
Horizontal resolution of the atmospheric model | 1.125 x 1.40625 degrees lat-lon |
Number of model levels | 28 |
Top of model | 5 hPa |
Type of model levels | sigma |
Forecast length | 61 days (1464 hours) |
Run Frequency | weekly (Wednesday 00Z up to May 2017, Thursdays 00Z since June 2017) |
Is there an unperturbed control forecast included? | Yes |
Number of perturbed ensemble members | 19 |
Integration time step | 36 minutes |
3. Initial conditions and perturbations | |
Data assimilation method for control analysis | 3D Var |
Resolution of model used to generate Control Analysis | 0.5 degrees |
Ensemble initial perturbation strategy | Breeding perturbations added to control analysis |
Horizontal and vertical resolution of perturbations | 1.125 x 1.40625 degrees lat-lon. |
Perturbations in +/- pairs | No |
4. Model uncertainties perturbations | |
Is model physics perturbed? | No |
Do all ensemble members use exactly the same model version? | Yes |
Is model dynamics perturbed? | No |
Are the above model perturbations applied to the control forecast? | No |
5. Surface boundary perturbations | |
Perturbations to sea surface temperature? | No |
Perturbation to soil moisture? | No |
Perturbation to surface stress or roughness? | No |
Any other surface perturbation? | No |
Are the above surface perturbations applied to the Control forecast? | No |
Additional comments - | |
6. Other details of the models | |
Description of model grid | Regular lat-lon grid, sigma-coordinate in vertical. |
List of model levels in appropriate coordinates | .0001, .0092, .01935, .03234, .04904, .06975, .09376, .12045, .15003, .1837, .2231, .2692, .3204, .3751, .4321, .4905, .5503, .6101, .6692, .72532, .77773, .82527, .86642, .90135, .93054, .95459, .97418, .99, 1.0 |
What kind of large scale dynamics is used? | Finite-difference semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian, vorticity-divergence formulation (Tolstykh, JCP 2002; section 2 in Shashkin, Tolstykh, GMD 2014) |
What kind of boundary layer parameterization is used? | pTKE scheme (Geleyn, J.-F., et al 2006) with shallow convection included |
What kind of convective parameterization is used? | Bougeault (MWR 85), Ducrocq and Bougeault (95), Gerard and Geleyn (QJ 2005) |
What kind of large-scale precipitation scheme is used? | Geleyn et al 1994 |
What cloud scheme is used? | Xu-Randall (JAS 96), diagnostic |
What kind of land-surface scheme is used? | ISBA |
How is radiation parametrized? | Ritter, Geleyn (1992), Geleyn et al (2005) |
Other relevant details? | |
7. Re-forecast Configuration | |
Number of years covered | 26 |
Produced on the fly or fix re-forecasts? | On the fly |
Frequency | Produced on the fly once a week to calibrate the Wednesday 00Z real-time forecasts. The re-forecasts consist of a 10-member ensemble starting the same day and month as the Wednesday real-time forecasts for the years 1985-2010. |
Ensemble size | 10 members |
Initial conditions | quasiassimilation with ERA Interim data |
Is the model physics and resolution the same as for the real-time forecasts | Yes |
If not, what are the differences | N/A |
Is the ensemble generation the same as for real-time forecasts? | Yes |
If not, what are the differences | N/A |
Other relevant information | HMCR re-forecasts are produced on the fly. Every week a new set of re-forecasts is produced to calibrate the real-time ensemble forecast of the given day. The ensemble re-forecasts consist of a 10-member ensemble starting the same day and month as a Wednesday real-time forecast, but covering 1985-2010 years. The re-forecast dataset is therefore updated every week in the S2S archive. |
Description of the model and its parameterizations
Parameterizations
Some results of the extended range forecasts