Discussed in the following Daily reports:
Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Zied
Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
On 17 and 18 August parts of central Sweden was hit by extreme rainfall. On station in Gavle measured 161 mm/24h and many stations recorded more than 100 mm/24h.
The plots below show analyses of z500 (contour) and T850 (shade) from 14 August 00UTC to 18 August 00UTC, every 24 hour.
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6-hour forecasts of precipitation from 16 August 00UTC to 18 August 00UTC, every 12 hour.
The plot below shows the 24-hour gridded precipitation observations from SMHI, ending on 18 August 06UTC.
The plots below show HRES forecasts of 24-hour precipitation valid 17 August 06UTC - 18 August 06UTC, from different initial dates. The black hourglass marks Gavle, which got 161 mm on one station and 117 mm on another station.
The plots below show EFI for 1-day precipitation 17 August, from different initial times. Some signal started to appear in the forecast from 13 August for eastern-central Sweden.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour precipitation valid 17 August 06UTC - 18 August 06UTC over Gavle, Sweden. HRES –red, ENS CF – purple, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts. To be updated
The plots below show the crossing-point forecast (CPF) for 1-day precipitation 17 August, from different initial times.
