Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
In January 2021 Singapore saw two major precipitation. The cases were reported in ECMWF User Forum: Severe Monsoon Surge in January over Singapore . This page shows evaluation for the second event on 8-10 January. The page for the first event can be found here: 202101 - Rainfall - Singapore Part 1
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6-hour forecasts of precipitation from 7 January 00UTC to 11 January 00UTC, every 12 hour.
The plots below show observations and HRES forecasts of 72-hour precipitation valid 8-10 January, from different initial dates.
The plots below show EFI for 3-day precipitation valid 8-10 January, from different initial times.
The plot below shows the evolution of the 3-day precipitation starting on 8 January, in the box outlined in the plots above. The plot includes HRES (red dot), ENS control (purple dot), ENS distribution (blue box-and-whisker) and model climate (red box-and-whisker).