Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

1. Impact

The tropical cyclone Tauktae made landfall on the coasts of north-western India on 18 May.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57139989

2. Description of the event

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 17 May 00UTC (first plot) to 10 May 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 17 May 12UTC. HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black).

3.4 Monthly forecasts

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material