2021

After the  Meteo-France recent model upgrade to the version CNRM-CM6, there is an issue with 2 metre minimum and maximum temperature. Both fields contain the mean 2-meter temperature over the past 6 hours instead of the correct values of 2 metre minimum and maximum temperature. This error affects both the real-time data since the real-time forecasts since the 22nd October 2020 and also the corresponding set of the fixed reforecasts (1993-2017) archived under the model version date 2019-07-01. As this error cannot be easily fixed in the reforecast data,  it was decided not to fix for consistency the real-time forecast fields either.

For more details go directly to the page Issues with data.


Change of the model version to GEPS2103 has applied  to the real-time forecasts since the 30th March 2021. The new JMA real-time ensemble system includes 2 start dates (Tuesdays and Wednesdays at 12Z) instead of the previous 4 runs. The ensemble size is 25 members for both days and the resulting new lagged ensemble for S2S is a single 50-member ensemble starting on Wednesdays at 12Z.

The new set of the fixed reforecasts (1981-2020) will be archived later during 2021. More information can be found in the pages JMA Model#JGEPS2103 and  JMA Model Description GEPS2103.


As a final part of JMA system change from March 2020, the new fixed reforecast set was finally added to S2S archive. The reforecast frequency was reduced from 3 to 2 runs per month with increased ensemble size from 5 to 13. The new model version date it relates to is 2020-03-31. The new reforecast set should be used together with the real-time runs since 2020-03-25. More information can be found in the JMA model description page.


The new GloSea6 forecasts and hindcasts have replaced the former GloSea5 system. It has applied to the real-time forecasts since 2nd February 2021 and to the on-the-fly reforecasts since  the 1st February 2021. 

 All details can be found in the page UKMO Model.

2020

Based on a new project requirement, the frequency of 10m u/v components has been increased to 6-hourly from the previously 24-hourly at the moment in two S2S models CNRM and ECMWF. The Mete-France change is related to the model upgrade to the version  CNRM-CM6.1 described below on 22-10-2020.

The starting date of this change regarding ECMWF is 12-11-2020 resp. 26-11-2020 for real-time resp. reforecast outputs.

The information about the availability of the increased frequency  of 10m u/v components is captured in the page Provided parameters.


The Meteo-France model has been upgraded to the version CNRM-CM6.1 It has applied to the real-time forecasts since the 22nd October 2020. The corresponding new set of the fixed reforecasts (1993-2017) was also archived under the model version date 2019-07-01 in MARS archive. The most important changes include:

  • forecast length extended to 47 days (from 32)
  • ensemble size decreased to 25 (from 51) for the real-time data and to 10 (from 15) for the reforecasts
  • addition of 9 ocean parameters and 5 other surface parameters
  • removal of potential vorticity parameter

 All details can be found in the page Meteo-France Model.


BoM contribution to S2S has been suspended since 25-09-2020 due to technical reasons until further notice. 


The previously announced (as per below News on 03-07-2020) wrongly encoded CMA reforecasts were fixed and re-archived correctly as of the "on-the-fly" type for the period 2019-11-11...2020-06-22.

Further details can be found in Issues with data.


Nine additional parameters allowing computing MJO indices were added  to the KMA outputs starting since the 1st  August 2020 for the real-time forecasts and since the 1st September for the on-the-fly reforecasts. Additionally, six more  re-forecast years (2011-2016) have been added to the KMA on-the-fly reforecast outputs also since the run on the 1st of  September 2020. 

More information can be found in the models' description page .


Please be informed that there  is an ongoing fix of the type of CMA reforecasts for the period 2019-11-11...2020-06-22. Until 2020-06-25 CMA reforecasts were wrongly encoded as of the fixed type. The correct reforecast type is "on-the-fly".  This is only a technical fix of GRIB 2 encoding but still users can be affected when reading the data as the encoding changes after 2020-06-25 at the moment. To complete fixing the whole affected period might  take couple of weeks.

Further details can be found in Issues with data.


Update of ECMWF forecast system. A new version of ECMWF model (IFS cycle 47r1) was introduced at ECMWF. 

This cycle includes changes in the treatment of observations and improvements in the data assimilation and to the model. Quintic vertical interpolation in the semi-Lagrangian advection scheme has been introduced as well as the inclusion of a better surface albedo climatology making use of more data from the MODIS instrument.

New Metrics of Tropical Cyclone (TC) “size” will supplement the existing forecasts of TC track and intensity.

The processing of the IFS reforecast (run in advance) has been suspended for the July's runs so that they would be computed from tomorrow by the new model version already.

Full details can be found in Implementation of IFS Cycle 47r1 page.


The ECCC issue with U and V components on pressure levels and at the 10m  affecting all outputs (real-time and reforecast) in the period 11.7.2019-9.1.2020 was fixed now. Users should re-download the affected data if they get them before 18 May 2020. For more details go directly to the Issues with data page.


The new 9 ocean parameters from CMA coupled model have been back-archived in S2S archive, the  real-time runs since 11 November 2019 and the fixed reforecast ones since 2 January 2020 at the moment. The remaining fixed reforecast period 11.11. 2019-30.12. 2020 will be added in the following to have a complete set of those new parameters after the latest CMA model change in November 2019 as per the news item below.   The new data is discoverable via the dedicated S2S web data portal under a new level type o2d .


Change of the model version to GEPS2003 has applied  to the real-time forecasts since the 24th March 2020. The new set of the fixed reforecasts (1981-2010) will be archived later during 2020The reforecast frequency will be reduced from 3 to 2 per month with increased number of perturbed members from 5 to 13. More information can be found in the JMA model description page.


The 9 new ocean parameters from ECCC coupled model have been added to S2S archive for both real-time and on-the-fly reforecast  runs since 6 Feb 2020 onwards. The new data is discoverable via the dedicated S2S web data portal under a new level type o2d (please be aware of the usual 3 weeks data availability delay because of the S2S archive policy).


 The 9 new ocean parameters from ECMWF coupled model have been added to S2S archive since 2 Jan 2020 resp. 30 Dec 2019 in case of real-time resp. reforecast outputs. The new data is discoverable as usually via the dedicated S2S web data portal under a new level type o2d .

2019

Change of the model version to BCC-CPS-S2Sv1 will apply  to real-time forecasts from the 12th November, the frequency changes from daily to 3-daily. The reforecasts type has been changed to the "on-the-fly" for the past 15 years.  More information can be found in the CMA model description page .


The page showing data availability of the on-the-fly reforecasts produced currently for S2S archive has been added.


The Issues with data page was updated with two newly acknowledged data issues in S2S archive as per below. Please be informed that both issues have already been fixed by 25.6.2019.

  • KMA: wrong soil initial data affecting runs in the period 9-17.6.2019
  • ECMWF: 4 hindcast runs in the period 13-24.6.2019 were produced by the former model version before the IFS system change on 11.6. It  causes inconsistency to the real-time outputs produced already by the new model version.

For more details go directly to the data issues page.


Change of the model version to GloSea5-GC2-LI. The new model will be used for real-time forecasts from the 3rd April and for reforecasts from the run on the 9th of April (the data from April reforecast runs is available in the archive already now as it is produced always well in advance in UKMO case). M ore information can be found in the model's description page .

2018

Tropical  cyclone tracks computed for all S2S re-forecasts and 3-week behind real-time forecasts are now available from  ftp://s2sids:s2sidx@acquisition.ecmwf.int M ore information can be found in the page Tools.


One more  re-forecast year (2016) has been added to the UKMO on-the-fly re-forecast outputs since the 1st of  September 2018. More information can be found in the models' description page .


There will be a major event related to S2S archive  at ECMWF,  2-5 April 2019: Workshop on Predictability, dynamics and applications research using the TIGGE and S2S ensembles. It is open now for registration and abstract submission.

Click here for more details.


The re-forecast frequency was changed from two to four times per month (runs on each 1st, 7th, 15th and 22nd day of month) . More information... here .


A new page with S2S data usage statistics was added.


We have recently experienced a hardware incident with a tape volume becoming damaged:

  • From 31 December 2017, half of the hindcast (enfh), perturbed forecast (pf), pressure level data (pl) are not available from tape. Note data cached on disk is still available.

Unfortunately, requests for data from a damaged tape are blocking access to all S2S data. In order to prevent blocking all S2S service via the WebAPI, we have disabled access to that specific dataset (reforecast, perturbed forecast, pressure level) until the problem is resolved.. We apologise for any inconvenience.

As of 19:00 UTC access to all hindcasts has been restored.

2017

We have recently experienced a couple of hardware incidents with tape volumes becoming damaged:

  1. During October 2017, a large proportion of hindcast (enfh), perturbed forecast (pf), single level data (sfc) was not available from tape. Data cached on disk would not be affected, but data from tape would fail. This problem was resolved on 8th November 2017.
  2. From beginning of November 2017 until 21st November, half of the hindcast (enfh), perturbed forecast (pf), pressure level data (pl) are not available from tape.

Unfortunately, requests for data from damaged tapes were blocking access to all S2S data. In order to prevent blocking all S2S service via the WebAPI, we disabled access to (2) during the specified period. We apologise for any inconvenience.

As of   14:30 UTC access to all hindcasts has been restored.


New fixed ISAC reforecast set was added to S2S archive. The new model version date it relates to is 2017-06-08. The new reforecasts contain now newly perturbed outputs as well and the lead time has been extended to +32 days. The data availability can be discovered as usually via the dedicated S2S data portal at ECMWF .


Since the 8th of July 2017 the RHMC (rums) reforecasts have been produced on Thursdays instead of previous Wednesdays.


The Meteo-France ssrd field is actually correct. The issue described previously only concerns the French seasonal forecast system but not the S2S one. However there is a newly acknowledged 10-meter wind fields issue - both the zonal and meridian components are effectively wrong. For more details go to the data issues page.


New fixed JMA reforecast set was added to S2S archive. The new model version date it relates to is 2017-01-31. Comparing to the previous set of JMA reforecasts (with the preivous model version date 2014-03-04)  it has two more year longer reforecast period 1981-2012. The data availability can be discovered as usually via the dedicated S2S data portal at ECMWF .


The problems with U/V  and geopotential fields (500 hPa and higher levels only) in pressure level outputs from KMA were fixed. The affected data in MARS was re-archived (period between the 29th March and end of August, 2017). For more details, please visit the page about Issues with data.


All surface solar radiation downwards (ssrd) data  from Meteo-France is wrong.  Please see update from 03-11-2017 above. For more details go  to the data issues page.


The model outputs from KMA - 500 hPa geopotential fields are wrong since the 29th March, 2017. For more details go directly to the data issues page.


The Issues with data page was updated with newly acknowledged data issues in S2S archive:

  • KMA: problematic wind components fields on pressure levels
  • JMA:
    • wrong valid times of the maximum/minimum temperature
    • wrong accumulated parameters(except for total precipitation)

For more details go directly to the data issues page.


The ISAC-CNR real-time forecast length has been increased to 32 days since Thursday, the 8th of June 2017. Further, since the same model run date the vertical speed has been added to all archived pressure levels instead of previous 500 hPa only.


The both HMCR runs (real-time and forecast) are starting now on Thursdays instead of Wednesdays. The 1st affected runs are from Thursday 8th of June 2017. This change was done to facilitate the usage of S2S re-forecasts (to have them starting all on the same week day).


The results of the 1st S2S user survey have been published. The total number of 116 users answered various questions about their experience with S2S products.


A new version of JMA forecasting system (GEPS1701) has been introduced since the run on 22nd March, 2017. More information... here.


The number of ensemble members for each hindcast year in UKMO re-forecasts  has been increased from 3 to 7. The first affected model run is from the 25th of March, 2017. More information ... here.


Since the 19th of January 2017 the ISAC-CNR re-forecasts' starting date has been changed from Monday to Thursday. The last archived Monday's outputs are from the 16th of January 2017. This change was done to facilitate usage of S2S re-forecasts data where 10 models from 11 have now the starting date on Thursdays. For example it makes possible to produce a multi-model ensemble easily.


The both real-time and re-forecast outputs from KMA model have been archived in S2S database starting from the 1st of November, 2016. More information ... here .

2016

A new  ECMWF model version (CY43R1) was released. It affects the ECMWF's outputs for S2S since the Thursday run on the 24th of November.  More information ... here.


The UKMO re-forecasts have been extended backwards to have all available hindcast years(1993 to 2015) since April 17, 2016 already. More information ... here.


Following S2S steering  group recommendation the vertical velocity (w) archiving has been extended in ECMWF real-time and re-forecast outputs from one vertical level (500 hPa) to  the same vertical levels as u and v velocity components since October 3, 2016 .


Following S2S steering  group recommendation the vertical velocity (w) archiving has been extended in CMA real-time forecasts from one vertical level (500 hPa) to  the same vertical levels as u and v velocity components since September 18, 2016 .


A new range of near-real time forecast charts based on the Sub-seasonal to Seasonal predictions (S2S) database is now openly available at: www.ecmwf.int/en/research/projects/s2s/charts/s2s

They can be used to monitor the S2S data and assess the quality of the forecasts, as well as providing a testbed for the development of new products, for example to identify signals for extreme events at the sub-seasonal timescale. The products include ensemble mean anomalies for some meteorological parameters, Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) for 2m temperature and forecasts of the Madden and Julian Oscillation (MJO). Since S2S is a research project, the forecasts are available with a 3-week delay; they are not intended for operational use.

Currently the S2S charts are limited to six models. In future all 11 S2S models will be included and the range of products will be extended. More information will be available ...here.


The UKMO re-forecasts have been extended with 3 more hindcast years (1993, 1994 and 1995) since August 17, 2016. More information ... here .


The both real-time and re-forecast outputs from ECCC model have been archived in S2S database started on January 7, 2016. More information ... here .


The interpolation problem in all Meteo-France real-time data in the period 19.5.-16.6. was fixed. The affected data in MARS was re-archived with the corrected one on June 17. For more details, please visit the page about Issues with data.


The problem with initial conditions in some CMA real-time data in January 2015 and 2016 was fixed. The affected data in MARS was re-archived. For more details, please visit the page about Issues with data.


In the last few months we have experienced an increase in the number of users and requests accessing re-forecast data. Substantial disk space has made available in order to keep such data cached on disk. Users should experience a much better throughput, specially for re-forecasts of models with fixed configurations.


The UKMO re-forecasts have been extended with 6 more hindcast years (2010 to 2015) since April 25, 2016. More information ... here .


The real-time forecast frequency was changed from once per month to weekly and the length of forecast was changed from 61 to 32 days. The first date archived with this new setup is 3rd March 2016. More information... here .


For more details, please visit the page about Issues with data.


Sea-ice cover data from BoM and CMA have problems, mostly in the re-forecast. Users are recommended not to make use of this data until it has been replaced in the S2S Archive, which we aim to do in the coming weeks. This will be announced to users. For more details, please visit the page about Issues with data.


Update of ECMWF forecast system. A new version of ECMWF model (IFS cycle 41r2) was introduced at ECMWF. 

The main consequences for ECMWF-S2S data are:
  • Introduction of a new model grid: the reduced Gaussian octahedral grid;
  • Horizontal resolution of the ENS increased from TL639 / N320 to TCO639 / O640 for ENS (Days 0 - 15) and from TL319 / N160 to TCO319 / O320  for ENS Extended (Days 16 - 46), where subscript C stands for cubic and O for octahedral;
  • For the medium-range ENS there will no longer be a decrease of resolution at day 10: the ENS Days 11 - 15 will be run at the same TCO639 / O640 resolution as ENS Days 0 - 10;

Click  here for full details.


The new upcoming version of ECMF model has been tested. Both runs Monday's and Thursday's of real-time forecast and hindcasts have been tested to be prepared for smooth switching to the new version soon.


The on-the-fly produced UKMO re-forecasts have been added to S2S database with the 1st archived date January 1, 2016. More information ... here .


NCEP re-forecasts archiving for the fixed period 1999-2010 was completed. The whole period is now fully available for users.

2015

The real-time part of UKMO model outputs started to be archived in S2S database since December 1, 2015. More information ... here .


The model outputs from ISAC-CNR were added to S2S database. The 1st available date is November 9, 2015. More information ... here .


A page Issues with data was created with the intention to make users aware of important issues with the data. We suggest users to 'Watch' that page so they should get notified of any issue we believe is relevant. More information... here.


We have documented a couple of cases on how to write scripts to retrieve data efficiently via the WebAPI. In order to do that one needs to know the frequency and availability of each Centre's re-forecast. These use cases are linked in the page with models' description (click on the model name in the first column there)

For example the links to BoM or CMA use cases are here:
BoM: https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/BoM+re-forecast+efficient+retrieval
CMA: https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/CMA+re-forecast+efficient+retrieval


The web interface to access re-forecasts was opened. The interface is available here.


The re-forecast frequency was changed from once to twice per month. More information... here .


The real-time part of HMCR model was added to S2S database. More information ... here .


A new model was added to S2S database. More information ... here .


A new model was added to S2S database. More information ... here .


The major difference for S2S database is the model running frequency change to twice a week and the extension of the forecast length to 46 days. More information ... here


The official launch of S2S database 

Near real-time forecasts from four data providers (BoM, ECMWF, JMA and NCEP) have been ingested routinely since January 2015.

More information... here.