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Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

1. Impact

2. Description of the event

The plots below show MSLP and 6-hour precipitation from short forecasts covering 19-25 November.

Forecast User > 201911 - Rainfall - Djibouti > an_MSL_20191119_0.ps.gif

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation valid 21-24 November.

Forecast User > 201911 - Rainfall - Djibouti > efi_tp_20191121_1-3.ps.gif

3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plot below show the verification of weekly precipitation anomalies valid 18-24 November. The anomaly over north-east Africa was captured at least up to range 8-14 days.

Forecast User > 201911 - Rainfall - Djibouti > mnth_precip_verif.png

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material