Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Mohamed
Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
On 24-25 July a heatwave affected western Europe. National records of temperature were recorded in the Netherlands (Deelen, 42.65C), Germany (Lingen, 42.65C), Belgium (Begijnendijk, 41.8C), Luxembourg (Steinsel, 40.8C) and (provisional) United Kingdom (38.5C, Cambridge Botanical Garden, https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2019/provisional-hottest-day-on-record). The record was also broken for Paris with 42.6C.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_2019_European_heat_wave
The plots below show analyses of z500 (contours) and T850 (shade) from 22 to 26 July.
The plot below shows the maximum temperature observations on 25 July.
The plots below show EFI and SOT maximum temperature valid 25 July in forecasts from 25 July (first plot) to 20 June (last plot). All forecasts captured the heatwave.
The ensemble ensemble evolution plot below shows the ENS (blue) and HRES (red dot) for maximum temperature in Paris on 25 July. Some inconsistencies can be spotted in forecasts from 16-18 July.
The plots below show weekly anomalies of 2-metre temperature for 22-28 July.