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 Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

 

 

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1. Impact


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-38038992

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of extra-tropical cyclone features.



The plots below show a sequence of satellite images from yr.no starting from 19 November 18z to 21 November 00z.



3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

Wind gusts o-suite:

Winds gusts e-suite




3.3 ENS

EFI and SOT for wind gusts for 20 November from o-suite.

EFI and SOT for wind gusts for 20 November from e-suite.




3.4 Monthly forecasts


3.5 Comparison with other centres


4. Experience from general performance/other cases

 

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event


6. Additional material

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