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Page:
Section 4.2 Analysis Increments
Bob Owens
Jan 15, 2024
Page:
Section 4.3 Downstream spread of influence
Bob Owens
Nov 06, 2023
Page:
Section 5 Forecast Ensemble (ENS) - Rationale and Construction
Bob Owens
Jul 21, 2023
Page:
Section 5.1 Generation of the Ensemble
Bob Owens
Sept 17, 2023
Page:
Section 5.1.1 Ensemble of Data Assimilations - EDA
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 5.1.2 Singular Vectors - SV
Bob Owens
Oct 24, 2023
Page:
Section 5.1.3 Stochastic Tendency Perturbations
Bob Owens
Jan 15, 2024
Page:
Section 5.2 Remarks on the Extended Range
Bob Owens
Nov 08, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3 Model Climates
Bob Owens
Oct 06, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3.1 M-climate, the ENS Model Climate
Bob Owens
Aug 27, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3.2 ER-M-climate, the Extended Range Model Climate
Bob Owens
Jul 24, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3.3 S-M-climate, the Seasonal Model Climate
Bob Owens
Jul 11, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3.4 Reanalyses and Re-forecasts
Bob Owens
Sept 17, 2023
Page:
Section 5.3.5 Limitations of twice weekly updates to the M-Climate
Bob Owens
Nov 21, 2023
Page:
Section 6 Using Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasts
Bob Owens
Oct 06, 2023
Page:
Section 6.1 Medium Range Forecasting - ENS
Bob Owens
Oct 06, 2023
Page:
Section 6.1.1 Forecaster amendment of ENS products
Bob Owens
Jul 19, 2023
Page:
Section 6.1.1.1 Grand ensembles
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 6.1.1.2 Lagged ensembles
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 6.2 Relative Skill of IFS Models
Bob Owens
Oct 06, 2023
Page:
Section 6.2.1 ECMWF headline scores
Bob Owens
Nov 28, 2023
Page:
Section 6.2.2 Anomaly Correlation Coefficient
Bob Owens
Aug 24, 2023
Page:
Section 6.2.3 Equitable Threat Score
Bob Owens
Oct 23, 2023
Page:
Section 6.2.4 Relative error differences between models
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 6.3 Model versus Human
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 7 ENS Products - Dealing with Uncertainty
Bob Owens
Jul 03, 2023
Page:
Section 7.1 Consideration of Probability
Bob Owens
Jul 16, 2023
Page:
Section 7.2 Jumpiness
Bob Owens
Jul 21, 2023
Page:
Section 7.3 High Impact Weather
Bob Owens
Dec 04, 2023
Page:
Section 7.4 Regime Charts
Bob Owens
Nov 08, 2023
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