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The aim of this page is to provide information and resources for the training courses OP-I and OP-II. The courses are course is suitable for those who have a genuine interest in ECMWF forecasting products and want to exploit fully the potential of these products in their daily duties, whether they are producing forecast bulletins or taking decisions that are affected by weather phenomena.

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The

courses are

course is a mixture of standard classroom lectures and practical activities where real weather cases are analysed in details and attendees are expected to report on at the end of the training week. Networking among the attendees is encouraged by allocating time for the participants to present their work and share their previous experience with ECMWF products.

The aim of the course is to provide the students with background knowledge to help them to make an informed use of ECMWF NWP products and to introduce students to novel products

At the end of the course, the participants will be able:

to master to use of ensemble forecasts
to understand potentials and weaknesses of NWP products
to use novel forecast products
to use ECMWF products for forecast guidance

The courses are

to make use of ECMWF products in decision making

The course is assessed by means of an online survey which allows the participants to include their feedback and suggestions for improvements. The learning outcomes are assessed separately using a self-evaluation method.

Pre-course programme

A list of All pre-course activities are on the Learning Portal (learning.ecmwf.int).

is indicated below. Please note that these activities are integral part of the course and by completing them you will be able to get the most benefit out of the training week.

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Introduce yourself to the other course participants and to the lecturers (click here to go to the forum)
Prepare a poster (click here for guidance, maximum size for poster: A1)
Go trough the Practical activity: Choose a verification technique and apply it to your selected case (click here for guidance and document uploading facility)
Browse through the list of suggested readings (see 'Suggested readings' in the list 'Resources' panel below)
Listen to the slidecast (click here to start the MP4, if it does not start read instructions below in the 'Resources' panel)

timetable

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Livesearch

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Go to home page

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Blog Posts

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Take the survey!

Survey OP-I, OP-II and OP-III 2015

OP-I photo will be available

OP-II photo will be available

OP-III photo will be available

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The pre-course learning and activities will take around 12 hours to complete.

Programme

The programme for the course is available on the Learning Portal (learning.ecmwf.int). The February 2021 course will be fully virtual and held via Zoom. All details can be found in the Learning Portal.

Virtual Laboratory Groups

During the Virtual Laboratory work attendees will be split into groups. The Breakout Groups function in Zoom will be utilised with participants encouraged to share screens and docments to complete the work.

We have created a Confluence page for each Group to facilitate the sharing of information / images / documents etc however please feel free to use other methods of sharing if you prefer.

Workspace for Group 1 - Fernando

Workspace for Group 2 - Linus

Workspace for Group 3 - Mohamed

Workspace for Group 4 - Ivan

Workspace for Group 5 - Tim

SLIDECASTs

Operational forecasting at ECMWF: components an products (A. Ghelli)

if you cannot play it, please download the MP4 file (right click and choose 'Save link as' ) and play it locally with Windows media player, or quicktime or VLC (free software)

Suggested readings

A number of articles are available here on various aspects of NWP, ECMWF model changes, medium and extended range forecast.

Case studies (coming soon!)

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Dealing with 'jumps' in the forecast (Instructor-led practical session)

In this interactive session we will focus on apparent jumps, between runs, in ECMWF forecasts and how forecasters can perhaps deal with them. Examples will be included. The point will also be made that a sound forecasting system has to exhibit 'jumpy behaviour' from time to time.

Case 1

Case 2

Case 3

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Case 4

Case 5

Case 6

Lectures

You can download lectures from here:

click on the title to get the mp4 (if you cannot play it, please download the MP4 file by right clicking and choosing 'Save link as' . Play it locally with Windows media player, or quicktime or VLC (free software))
click on 'pdf' to get the file in pdf

Lecturer	Title	Lecturer	Title
A. Ghelli	Introducing ECMWF	L. Isaksen	Data assimilation (pdf)
P. Bechtold	Model Physics (pdf)	F. Prates	Forecasting tropical cyclones in the medium range (pdf)
J. Bidlot	Wave forecasting (pdf)	D. Richardson	Ensemble forecasting (pdf)
M. Dahoui	Use of satellite observations (pdf)	C. Sahin	Introduction to ecCharts
L. Ferranti	Monthly Forecast (pdf) Seasonal forecasts (pdf)	I. Tsonevsky	Forecasting extreme events (pdf)
R. Forbes	Clouds and precipitation (pdf)	L. Magnuson	Understanding the model climate (pdf)
T. Hewson	Extratropical Cyclones (pdf)

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title	Verification Methods - Resources

EUMETCAL e-training module on verification:

The link below will take you to an e-training module on verification methods. There are four parts to it: Introduction, Verification of continuous variables, Verification of categorical forecasts and Verification of probability and ensemble forecasts. This module will help you to learn about verification techniques for deterministic and probability forecast. Try to complete all the parts and in case you run out of time look at the Introduction, Verification of categorical forecasts and Verification of probability and ensemble forecasts. There will be a verification session during the training week when verification techniques will be discussed starting from the exercises you have done in the module and your practical verification activity:

VERIFICATION METHODS

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