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For "Known Forecast Issues", see: Known IFS forecasting issues
Analyses from DWD (11 January every 6th hour)
Analyses from SMHI
Observations from Stockholm Arlanda (left) and Sundsvall () (from ogimet.com)
Short visibility forecast
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Forecasts from 11 January 12UTC+12 for visibility (left), snowfall rate (middle) and total precipitation rate (right)
Forecasts from 11 January 12UTC+12 for visibility for operational forecast (left, same as above) and for 47r3 experiment (right).
Metars from 3 airports along the Swedish east-coast:
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METAR ESNO 112320Z AUTO 09021G31KT 1000
R12/P2000N R30/P2000N -SN
FEW002/// SCT005///
BKN010/// M01/M02 Q0997= |
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ecPoint
Probability for >20 mm/12h in raw ensemble (left) and
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ecPoint (right).
CDF for precipitation for Stockholm (left) and northern point (right)
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The plot below shows time-series of various parameters for a point in Southern Sweden in the forecast from 11 January 12UTC and the map for precipitation type for step 12.
2-metre temperature
To
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evaluate the forecasts for the cold spell that followed after the cyclone, the plot below evaluates the forecasts for 2-metre temperature over southern Sweden 14-16 January, for the region outline in the 1-3 day EFI plot for the same period below. The cold signal started to appear on 28 December.
Seasonal anomalies
