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NEWS!
A test environment for time-critical applications is now available.
Please note that to prepare for the cycle upgrade changes to dissemination requirements will not be possible between 09:00 UTC on 29 June 2020 and 09:00 UTC on 01 July 2020.
New climate fields, lake cover/depth and leaf area indices, have been added
During the pre-operational (esuite) testing of cycle 47r1 (expver=74) a bug in the computation of certain shear-related parameters was discovered.
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During the pre-operational (esuite) testing of cycle 47r1 (expver=74) a bug in the computation of certain shear-related parameters was discovered. The impact is:
A. Fields for the following parameters contain erroneous values in all esuite forecasts from data times prior to 00 UTC run on 20 May :
Convective available potential energy shear index (ShortName=capes, ParameterID=228044)
Maximum CAPES in the last 6 hours (ShortName=mxcapes6, ParameterID=228036)
Vertical integral of northward water vapour flux (ShortName=viwvn, ParameterID=162072)
C. The esuite model climate fields used for the two EFI/SOT parameters in (B), stored in stream=efhs and type=cd, contain erroneous values for the following parameters for all data times prior to 22 June :
ShortName=capes (parameterID=228044)
ShortName=wvf (parameterID=162045)
Implementation timeline
Recording of latest webinars on the performance and products of the new model cycle is now available
Near real-time release candidate test data will be available from the 00Z run on 2 June 2020
CIN and EFI for CAPE and CAPE-shear have been reviewed. List of new and changed parameters now available
800Meteorological content
The changes in this model cycle cover the Data Assimilation, treatment of observations and improvements to the model itself
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Assimilation
LWDA uses first guess from Early Delivery
- The first guess used in LWDA now comes from the analysis derived in the early delivery window.
- This gives effectively 4 extra outer loops in the LWDA system, as they were computed in the early delivery window, albeit with fewer observations.
Weak-constraint 4D-Var
- A new estimate of the model error covariance matrix has been computed from a climatology of the model error vectors estimated by the current weak-constraint 4D-Var
- This new implementation of weak-constraint 4D-Var corrects the diagnosed cold and warm biases of the model over 100 hPa, reducing the mean error by up to 50%.
Revision of skin temperature background errors in the context of TOVS sink variable
- New spatially and in time varying back-ground errors for skin temperature have been derived based upon output from the Ensemble Data Assimilation (EDA) to improve the way the surface skin temperature is allow to adjust to the radiance assimilation scheme during the 4D-VAR. The approach enhances the characterization of the background-error variances for the skin temperature, by providing flow dependent background errors which vary spatially and in time during the 12-hour assimilation window. This is particularly important for land surfaces which can be very heterogeneous and where errors can change rapidly during the day, synoptically and seasonally.
Timestep for last 4D-Var minimisation
Additional details: Changes in CIN to concur with forecasting practice
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The new model cycle brings improvements throughout the troposphere in the order of 0.5% in extra-tropical upper-air forecasts. The improvements are most apparent in the ENS scores, both against own analysis and against observations.
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A new BUFR sequence has been designed to accommodate the new TC information. Technical information is available at:
New Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii product
Software
The software packages listed below provide full support for the new IFS Cycle 47r1 and will become the default on ECMWF platforms on Wednesday 3 June 2020, see Change of default versions of ECMWF and third-party software packages - June 2020:
ecCodes 2.17.1
Magics 4.3.3
Metview 5.8.3
Availability of IFS cycle 47r1 test data
Test data in MARS
IFS Cycle 47r1 release candidate test data will be available from MARS with experiment version 0074 (MARS keyword EXPVER=0074) starting from the 00 UTC on
The data can be accessed in MARS from:
- HRES (class=od, stream=oper, expver=74)
- HRES-WAM (class=od, stream=wave, expver=74)
- ENS (class=od, stream=enfo, expver=74)
- ENS-WAM (class=od, stream=waef, expver=74)
Only registered users of ECMWF computing systems will be able to access the test data sets in MARS. The data should not be used for operational forecasting. Please report any problems you find with this data to Service Desk.
Test data in dissemination
IFS Cycle 47r1 test data from the release candidate stage will be available through the test dissemination system, starting from the 00Z run on . Users of ECMWF dissemination products can trigger transmission of test products by logging in to the test ECPDS system at https://ecpds-xmonitor.ecmwf.int/ (or https://msaccess.ecmwf.int:7443) in the usual manner. To receive the test products, users have to have their firewall open to the relevant ECPDS Data Movers:
Internet transfers: 193.61.196.104 ( ecpds-xma.ecmwf.int ), 193.61.196.105 ( ecpds-xmb.ecmwf.int ) and 193.61.196.113 ( ecpds-xmc.ecmwf.int )
RMDCN transfers: 136.156.8.132 ( mspds-dm4.ecmwf.int ) and 136.156.8.133 ( mspds-dm5.ecmwf.int )
The IFS Cycle 47r1 test products are available as version number 74 (file names ending with '74'). The test products are generated shortly behind real-time and based on the operational dissemination requirements and the IFS Cycle 47r1 test data for HRES, HRES-WAM, ENS, ENS-WAM and ENS extended.
Should you require any assistance with IFS Cycle 47r1 test dissemination products, please contact Data Services.
Graphical display of IFS cycle 47r1 test data using ecCharts
From the run 00Z run on onwards, the IFS cycle 47r1 layers are available in ecCharts. Cycle 47r1 layers are identified by the label "0074" in their title and a black border around test data layers for better visual identification.
.These events are intended for testing technical aspects only and should not be used for Time Critical activities.
Options 2 and 3
Option 2 or 3 time-critical applications can be tested with theIFS Cycle 47r1 test data retrieved from MARS or received in Dissemination.ResourcesWebinar on 'Cycle 47r1 performance and products'
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