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The aim of this  case study is to forecast Autumn stormy predict weather conditions in the Adriatic Sea Venice area ahead of a school trip  in late October 2018 with focus on the area of Venice. The purpose of this interactive exercise is to use and discuss a wide range of ECMWF products. These includes:

Model climatology (proxy of the real climate)

Seasonal forecasts (anomalies, verification)

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Weather parameters (precipitation type, point rainfall, wind gusts and waves)

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As the case study progresses you will be asked to provide an update of the forecast based on the recent model outputs. Typically : 3 months before, 1 month before, 2 weeks, 7 days, 3 days, 3, 2 and 1 day before

Sections:

Introduction

Model climate

Seasonal forecast

Extended range

Early medium range

Early Medium range

Short range

Outcome and discussiondiscussions

Useful links:

ECMWF Forecasts

ecCharts

IFS known issues

Severe event catalogue

Forecast User Guide