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Status:
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Finalised Material from: Ervin
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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2. Description of the event
The 3 day total (radar+gauge estimate 16th 13 UTC - 19th 13 UTC) looks impressive, but in fact only a relatively small area received over 200 mm in southeast of Texas just west from Houston. Most of the rain fell anyway in a ~24-hour period or so.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show the 24-hour precipitation from NEXRAD together with a 0-1 day forecast and 4-5 day forecast.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the EFI for precipitation for the period 16-19 April.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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