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We are missing precipitation observations from Sri Lanka.The observations below are instead from ogimet.com with the first plot valid on 20 May (20May 00z- 21 May 00z) and last 31 May. The worst precipitation episode in south-eastern Sri Lanka took place on 24-26 May with 535 mm at one station.Ratnapura (6.7N, 80.4W)
28 May missing
The plots below show the precipitation from HRES during the first 24 hours, as a proxy for the analysis. It is apparent that the short forecasts missed clearly underestimated the events event between 24-26 May, while it had heavy precipitation on 29-30 May, which seems to have been higher than observed.
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- The short and medium-range forecasts missed clearly underestimated the precipitation on 24-26 May
- Some signal in monthly forecasts (connected to MJO?)
- Observations missing from Sri Lanka in our system but available on the web
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