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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plots below show the daily average precipitation between 1 and 31 March from observations (left), 12-24 hour forecasts (middle) and 120-144 hour forecasts (right).

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3.3 ENS


3.4 Monthly and seasonal forecasts

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

The plots below compares 3-month (Feb-Apr) precipitation anomalies from 1 January for ECMWF (left) and EUROSIP (right). As seen above, ECMWF missed the anomaly for this initial date while the EUROSIP gave a consistent signal.

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3.6 EFAS


Glofas flood forecast are clearly flagging the areas affected by the floods even tough the catchments are relatively small .

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