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Comparison of scores of IFS Cycle 43r1 (combination of research experiments and the current test suite) and IFS Cycle 41r2 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or radiosonde and SYNOP observations at 00UTC for the period 12 UTC on 2 November 2015 to 12 00 UTC on 10 October 22 November 2016 (673 743 forecast runs).
ACCRMSe/STDeerror/Std. dev. of error | SEEPS |
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Europe |
againstAgainst analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | ▾░░░░░░░░░ | ▴▴▴▴▴▴ |
░ ░200hPa░ ▾░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
500hPa | ░░░░░░░░ |
░ ▴░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░ |
░ ░ ▴░ | |
1000hPa | ░░░░░░░░▴░ | ░░░░░░░░▴░ |
░MSL Mean sea level pressure | | ▾░░░░░░░▴░ | ░░░░░░░░ |
░ ▴░ | |
Temperature | 100hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ |
▾ ░ 200hPa ▴ ░░░░░░░ | |
500hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▼▾░░░ |
▾ ░░░░░ | ▼▾░░░░░░░░ | |
1000hPa | ▾░░░░ |
▾ ░░░░░ | ▾▾░░░░░░░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▴▴▴▴░░░░░░ |
░ ░ 200hPa250hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░ |
░▼ ░200hPa▴ ▴ ▴ ░ ░ ░ ░▴▴▴ | |
700hPa | ░▴▴░░░░░░░ | ░▴▴░░░░░░░ |
░againstAgainst observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ▾░░░░░░░░░ | ▴▲▲▲▴▴░▴░▴ |
░ ░ ░ ░ ░200hPa ▴ ░░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
2m temperature | | | ▲▲▲▴░░░░░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ░░▴▴░░░░░░ |
░200hPa▴ ░ ░▴ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
10m wind | | | ▴░░░░░░░░░ | |
2m dew-point | | ▾▾▼▾▾▾ |
▾ ░░░░ | |
Total cloud cover | | ▴▴░░░░░ |
▾ ▾ | |
24h precipitation | | | ░▴░░░░░░░░ |
░ |
Extratropical Northern Hemisphere |
againstAgainst analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | ▴░░▴░░░ |
░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░ ░200hPa▴ ░ ▴░░░░░░░ | |
500hPa | ▴░▴░░░░░░░ | ▴ |
▴ ░▴░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░▴░░░░░░░ | ░░▴░░░░░░░ |
░ ░ ░MSL Mean sea level pressure | | ▾░ |
░ ░ | |
Temperature | 100hPa | ▴▴▴░░░░░░░ |
░ ▲ ░ ░ ░ 200hPa▴ ▴ ▴ ▴ ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
500hPa | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ |
░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░▴░░░░░░░ |
░▾ ▾ ▾░░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▲▲▴░░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ |
░200hPa ░ | ▲▴░░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▲▴▴░░░░░░░ | ▲▴▴░░░░░░░ | |
10m wind |
over oceanat sea | | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
Ocean height | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
Ocean ░ ░░░░░░░░ | ▴░░░░░░░░░ | |
Relative humidity |
200hPa▲ ▲ ▲ ░ ░ | |
700hPa | ▲▲▲▴░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
againstAgainst observations | Temperature | 100hPa |
▾ ░▴ ▴ ▴ 200hPa | ▴ ▴ ▴ ░ ▴ ░░░░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░▾░░░ | ░░░░░ |
▾ ░▾░░░ | |
2m temperature | | | ▲▲▲▲▴░░░░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ░▴▴░░░░░░░ | ░░▴░░░░░░░ |
░200hPa ░ ░ ░░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░▴░░░░░░░ |
░░ ▴░▴░░░░░░░ | |
2m dew-point | | ▼▼▼▼ |
▾ ▾▾▾░░░ | |
Total cloud cover | | ▲▲▲▲ |
▴ ▴▴░░░░ | |
24h precipitation | | | ▴░░ |
░ ▴░░░░░░ |
Extratropical Southern Hemisphere |
againstAgainst analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | ▲░░░░░░░░░ | ▲▴ |
▴ ▴ 200hPa ░ ░ ▴ ▴▴░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▲▲▴▴▴ |
░ ░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
1000hPa | ▲▲▴▴▴ |
▴ ▴ MSL Mean sea level pressure | | ▲▲▴▴ |
░ ▴░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
Temperature | 100hPa | ▲▲▴░░░░░░░ | ▲▲▲ |
▴ 200hPa ▴ ▲ ▴ ▴ ▴ ▴ ▴ ░ ░ ▴░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▲▲▴░░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
1000hPa | ▲▲▲▴▴░░░░░ | ▲▲▲▴▴▴▴▴ |
▴ ░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▲▲▲▴▴░░░░░ | ▲▲▲▴▴░░░░░ | |
200hPa250hPa | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▲▲▴▴▴▴░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴▴░░░░░ | |
10m wind |
over ocean ▴ ▴ Ocean ▲ Ocean period | ▲▲▴▴▴▴░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴▴▴░░░░ | |
Relative humidity |
200hPa ░ ░ ░ ▴▴ | |
700hPa | ▲▲▲▴▴▴░░░░ | ▲▲▲▴▴░░░░░ |
░againstAgainst observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ░░░░░░░░▾░ | ░▴▴▴▴░ |
░ 200hPa▴ ▴ ▴ ▴ ░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ▴░░░░░░░░░ | ▴░░░░░░░░░ | |
2m temperature | | | ▴▴▴▴▴░░░░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▴░▴▴░░░░░░ | ▴░ |
▴ ░ ░ ░ 200hPa | ░ ░ ▴ ░░░░░░ | |
850hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ | ░░░░░░░▴░░ | |
10m wind | | | ░░ |
▴ ▴ ░░ | |
2m dew-point | | ▾░░░░░░░░░ |
▾ | |
Total cloud cover | | ▴▴▴▴▴▴░ |
░ ▴░░ | |
24h precipitation | | | ░░░░░░░░░░ |
Tropics |
againstAgainst analysis | Temperature | 100hPa | ▲▲▲▴▴▴▴▴ |
▴ 200hPa ░ ░ ░ ▾ ▴ ░ ░ ▴░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▴▴▴░ | |
1000hPa | ▲▲▲▲▴▴░░░░ |
░ ░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▲▲▲▲▴▴▴░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▴▴▴▴▴▴ | |
200hPa ░ ░ ░ ▴ ░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▴░░░ | |
10m wind at sea |
over ocean ░Ocean ▴ ▴ ░ Ocean period | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | ▲▲▴▴░░░░░░ | |
Relative humidity |
200hPa▲ ▴ ▴ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲▴▴▴▴▴▴▴ | |
700hPa | ▲▲▲▲▲▴▴▴░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▴▴▴ | |
againstAgainst observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ░░░░░░░░░░ |
▴ 200hPa▴ ▾ ░ ░ ░ ▾ ▼▼▼▼▾░░ | |
Wind | 100hPa | ▴▴▴░░░░░░░ | ▴▴▴░▴░▴░ |
▴ ▴ 200hPa ░ ░ ░ ░ ▴▴▴▴▴░░ | |
2m dew-point | | ▼▼▼▼ |
▾ ▼▾▾▾▾▾ | |
Total cloud cover | | ░░░▴▴▴░▴▴░ | |
24h precipitation | | | ░░░▴░░░░░░ |
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Score card provides a quick visual overview over the performance of the CY43r1 scores compared to CY41r2. It is a simplified summary of verify error plots of various domains, scores, parameters etc.
Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g. ▼ ▾ ▾ ░ ░ ░ ░ ▴ ▲ ▲) where each symbol indicates for given time step whether or not the CY43r1 is significantly better or worse than the CY41r2.
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