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If working in groups, each group could follow the tasks below with a different ensemble forecast. e.g. one group uses the 'ens_oper', another group uses 'ens_2016' and so on.
A key question is: which is the better ensemble?
Choose your ensemble dataset by setting the value of 'expId':
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- Select 'better' forecasts using the stamp plots and use ens_to_an.mv to modify the list of ensembles plots. Can you tell which area is more sensitive in the formation of the storm?
- use the pf_to_cf_diff macro to take the difference between these perturbed ensemble member forecasts from the control to also look at this.
Task 5: Computing the EOFs and clusters
TO BE DONE
Forecasting an event using an ensemble : Work in teams for group discussion
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