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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-30609549
During the same period also Sri Lanka was affected by heavy rainfall.
2. Description of the event
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3.3 ENS
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plots below shows weekly anomalies of rainfall for 15-21 December (left) and 22-28 December (right). The worst affected region is located in the upper-right corner of the plotted domain. The both weeks, a wet anomaly is present 2 weeks before.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
3.6 GLOFAS
Forecast from 6 to 14 December:
Forecast from 15 to 23 December:
Forecast from 24 to 29 December:
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Good early signal for anomalous rainfall
- Early signal in Glofas
- The signal got weaker after the rainfall, why?