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- they deliver rearward sloping baroclinic structures, which should generally be more realistic.
- the spread of outcomes grows realistically.
- the code is fairly inexpensive to run (it has a low resolution (320km) and there . There is no evidence yet that higher resolution SVs would improve ensemble skill).
The disadvantages of the Singular Vectors are:
- they don’t directly take into account analysis uncertainty, nor observation coverage or accuracy.
- they produce rather localized variability (in the very short range).
- they under-develop variability in tropical regions (tropical singular vectors are employed to try to offset this problem)
Points to note:
- Average SV total energy charts can be used to identify unstable regions.
- SVs (i.e. the SV perturbations applied) tend to be localized in areas of strong barotropic and baroclinic instability.Average
- SV total energy charts can be used to identify unstable regions. SV growth tends to be characterized by characterized during the model run by:
- an upscale
- energy transfer.
- an upward energy transfer (most rapid for smaller scales)
- .
- initial
- potential energy being converted
- into kinetic energy.
- Information for the final-time synoptic-scale structure is contained in the sub-synoptic scale SVs. At initial time:
- SVs with sub-synoptic-scale wavenumbers at initial time may grow very rapidly to reach synoptic scales.
- SVs with large scale wavenumbers at initial time grow much more slowly than unconstrained, smaller-scale perturbations; the . The presence or absence of large scales has little effect on SV growth.
- SVs with sub-synoptic-scale wavenumbers at initial time may grow very rapidly to reach synoptic scales.
- The atmospheric flow structure in winter tends to be more baroclinically unstable than it does in summer (and during . During winter the flow over Pacific and Atlantic sectors is on average more unstable than it is in other regions).
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