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The characteristics of each grid box are updated through the forecast period (e.g. model snowfall might increase the area or depth of snow cover; model rainfall might increase soil moisture rather than be removed by run-off).  The areal extent of each land surface tile type (listed above) can vary in a rapid, interactive way during the model run, as rain falls then evaporates or snow accumulates then melts, etc.  The slope and aspect of orography within each grid box (e.g. south-facing, steepness) is not taken into account and HTESSEL may consequently under- or over-estimate solar heating and runoff.

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Soil temperature is a forecast variable in IFS.  It needs to be initialised at each analysis cycle but there are relatively few directly measured observations.  Soil surface (skin) temperature is derived from the expected air temperature structure in the lowest 2 m together with energy fluxes (from HTESSEL) and an analysis of observed screen level (2 m) temperatures.  

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For each soil type and location there is a pre-defined value of the ability to hold moisture and this is used to assess the impact of model rainfall.  The HTESSEL system includes allowance for water capture by interception of precipitation and dew fall, and at the same time, there are infiltration and run-off schemes that take account of soil texture and the standard deviation of sub-grid scale orography.

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  • the expected air temperature and moisture structure in the lowest 2 m together with energy fluxes (from HTESSEL) and an analysis of observed screen level (2 m) humidities.
  • satellite soil moisture data from the ASCAT sensor on the MetOp satellites
  • data from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity satellite mission (SMOS) is used for operational monitoring (see Fig 2.1.14).

The 2m temperature and humidity are diagnostic parameters of the model, so their analysis only has an indirect effect on atmosphere through the soil and snow variables. 

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