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(follow the model version links below for more details)
GEPS2103
- ...to be added
- The new JMA real-time ensemble system includes 2 start dates (Tuesdays and Wednesdays at 12Z) instead of the previous 4 runs (see the description in GEPS1701 below). The ensemble size is 25 members for both days and the resulting new lagged ensemble for S2S is a single 50-member ensemble starting on Wednesdays at 12Z.
- operational from 23
GEPS2003
two-tiered Sea Surface Temperature (SST) method is implemented in addition to improved physical parameterization schemes in the forecast model. In this approach, the oceanic lower-boundary condition is relaxed from the anomaly-fixed SST to the ensemble-mean SST based on prediction using the Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (Seasonal EPS).
There is no change in the number of fields for real-time data but the number of reforecast ensemble members is increased from 5 to 13, and the number of frequency is reduced from 3 to 2 per month.
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