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The plots below show EFI and SOT for integrated water vapour flux valid 8 April.
3.3.1 ENS raw compared to point-rainfall ENS product
Probability of 12-h precipitation greater than 100mm in the ENS forecast. Base time 8th April 2019 at 00 UTC and valid between 18h and 30h lead time.
Probability of 12-h precipitation greater than 100 mm in the ecPoint forecast. Base time 8th April 2019 at 00 UTC and valid between 18h and 30h lead time.
Probability of 12-h precipitation greater than 150 mm in the ENS forecast. Base time 8th April 2019 at 00 UTC and valid between 18h and 30h lead time.
Probability of 12-h precipitation greater than 150 mm in the ecPoint forecast. Base time 8th April 2019 at 00 UTC and valid between 18h and 30h lead time.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
6. Additional material
OBSERVATIONS
24h precipitation observations accumulated from 8th April at 06 UTC to 9th April at 06 UTC.
Hourly observations in the SYNOP station in Rio de Janeiro -Forte De Copacabana (Brazil)