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Probability of maximum CAPE greater than 1000 J/kg at T+114h (left) and T+18h (right).
Maximum CAPE and maximum CAPE-shear parameters have been used to compute the EFI/SOT for this case. Below, the operational EFI (left) and the EFI with the new parameters (right) is presented.
EFI/SOT for CAPE-shear: operational (left) and with new maximum CAPE-shear parameter (right). The navy triangle denotes the city of Pleven.
EFI/SOT for CAPE: operational (left) and with new maximum CAPE parameter (right). The navy triangle denotes the city of Pleven.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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